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Review
. 2022 Apr;97(2):640-663.
doi: 10.1111/brv.12816. Epub 2022 Jan 10.

The Sixth Mass Extinction: fact, fiction or speculation?

Affiliations
Review

The Sixth Mass Extinction: fact, fiction or speculation?

Robert H Cowie et al. Biol Rev Camb Philos Soc. 2022 Apr.

Abstract

There have been five Mass Extinction events in the history of Earth's biodiversity, all caused by dramatic but natural phenomena. It has been claimed that the Sixth Mass Extinction may be underway, this time caused entirely by humans. Although considerable evidence indicates that there is a biodiversity crisis of increasing extinctions and plummeting abundances, some do not accept that this amounts to a Sixth Mass Extinction. Often, they use the IUCN Red List to support their stance, arguing that the rate of species loss does not differ from the background rate. However, the Red List is heavily biased: almost all birds and mammals but only a minute fraction of invertebrates have been evaluated against conservation criteria. Incorporating estimates of the true number of invertebrate extinctions leads to the conclusion that the rate vastly exceeds the background rate and that we may indeed be witnessing the start of the Sixth Mass Extinction. As an example, we focus on molluscs, the second largest phylum in numbers of known species, and, extrapolating boldly, estimate that, since around AD 1500, possibly as many as 7.5-13% (150,000-260,000) of all ~2 million known species have already gone extinct, orders of magnitude greater than the 882 (0.04%) on the Red List. We review differences in extinction rates according to realms: marine species face significant threats but, although previous mass extinctions were largely defined by marine invertebrates, there is no evidence that the marine biota has reached the same crisis as the non-marine biota. Island species have suffered far greater rates than continental ones. Plants face similar conservation biases as do invertebrates, although there are hints they may have suffered lower extinction rates. There are also those who do not deny an extinction crisis but accept it as a new trajectory of evolution, because humans are part of the natural world; some even embrace it, with a desire to manipulate it for human benefit. We take issue with these stances. Humans are the only species able to manipulate the Earth on a grand scale, and they have allowed the current crisis to happen. Despite multiple conservation initiatives at various levels, most are not species oriented (certain charismatic vertebrates excepted) and specific actions to protect every living species individually are simply unfeasible because of the tyranny of numbers. As systematic biologists, we encourage the nurturing of the innate human appreciation of biodiversity, but we reaffirm the message that the biodiversity that makes our world so fascinating, beautiful and functional is vanishing unnoticed at an unprecedented rate. In the face of a mounting crisis, scientists must adopt the practices of preventive archaeology, and collect and document as many species as possible before they disappear. All this depends on reviving the venerable study of natural history and taxonomy. Denying the crisis, simply accepting it and doing nothing, or even embracing it for the ostensible benefit of humanity, are not appropriate options and pave the way for the Earth to continue on its sad trajectory towards a Sixth Mass Extinction.

Keywords: IUCN Red List; Sixth Extinction; biodiversity crisis; conservation; denial; extinction; invertebrates; land snails; molluscs; undescribed species.

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Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Taxonomic bias in the Red List. Total numbers of described species in selected major vertebrate and invertebrate groups [data from Roskov et al. (2019) and MolluscaBase editors (2021)] and the proportions of those species evaluated for the Red List (IUCN, 2020).
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Extinct but not listed as such, for fear of committing the ‘Romeo Error’. Left: Eskimo curlew (Numenius borealis (Forster)), from Audubon (: plate 208; Wikimedia Commons). Right: Bachman's warbler (Vermivora bachmani (Audubon)), from Audubon (: plate 185 (detail); Creative Commons, Rawpixel).
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Parasites, such as this louse (Phthiraptera, Rallicola pilgrimi Clay, collected June 2014, South Island, New Zealand), which went extinct when its host, the little spotted kiwi (Apteryx owenii Gould), was transferred to predator‐free islands (Buckley et al., 2012), and which is not on the Red List, are almost completely unknown in the assessment of extinctions. Photograph: Creative Commons 4.0. Te Papa (A1.018470).
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Recently extinct Endodontidae from Rurutu (Austral Islands, French Polynesia). Photographs: O. Gargominy, A. Sartori (Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle, Paris).
Fig. 5
Fig. 5
Rurutu (Austral Islands, French Polynesia) was once home to 19 species of endemic Endodontidae (Mollusca). Despite extensive searches in the remaining patches of native vegetation, such as at the foot of this cliff, only empty shells were found. All 19 species are now considered extinct. Photograph: B. Fontaine.
Fig. 6
Fig. 6
Right: Tropical islands such as Anjouan in the Comoros, have suffered extensive deforestation for agriculture. Native vegetation is generally completely lacking at lower altitudes, and the highest ridges and mountaintops are now the last refuges of the remaining extant endemic species. Left: Other islands such as Rapa in the Austral Islands, French Polynesia, which has an area of only 40 km2 and used to have more than 100 endemic land snail species, 59 endemic plant species and 67 endemic weevil species, are now mostly barren. Fires and overgrazing by introduced herbivores have destroyed much of the upper elevation habitat, and the vegetation at lower altitudes is dominated by invasive species. Photographs: B. Fontaine.
Fig. 7
Fig. 7
Steller's sea cow (Hydrodamalis gigas (Zimmerman)), one of the few documented marine extinctions, skeleton in the Musée des Confluences, Lyon. Photograph: Vassil, via Wikimedia Commons.

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